YouTube's Ad Boycott Could Quickly Become Google's Biggest Headache.
As many as 250 companies have indefinitely suspended their ad campaigns.
By Michael Liedtke Associated Press.
YouTube's inability to keep big-brand ads off unsavory videos is threatening to transform
a rising star in Google's digital family into a problem child.
It's not yet clear whether a recent ad boycott of YouTube will be short-lived or the start
of a long-term shift away from the video service -- one that could undercut Google's growth
and that of its corporate parent,Alphabet Inc.
Alphabet's first-quarter results, released Thursday, provided few clues.
Major advertisers didn't start pulling their money from YouTube until the three-month period
was nearly over.
The company's earnings rose 29 percent to $5.4 billion while revenue climbed 22 percent
to $24.8 billion.
Shares surged nearly 5 percent, to $933, in Thursday's extended trading.
CLOUD OVER YOUTUBE But the fallout from the YouTube boycott is
likely to be felt through the rest of this year.
Skittish advertisers have curtailed their spending until they are convinced Google can
prevent their brands from appearing next to extremist clips promoting hate and violence.
"There is no entity in the world that is more risk averse than a senior marketing person,"
says Larry Chiagouris, a marketing professor at Pace University in New York.
"They don't want to go with a media choice that presents problems for a brand, and they
don't have to because they have many other choices."
Google CEO Sundar Pichai told analysts during a Thursday review of the first quarter that
the company has had "thousands and thousands" of conversations with advertisers as YouTube
takes steps to protect their brands.
"We are evolving overall to a better place," Pichai said.
At another point, he assured analysts that YouTube is still experiencing "extraordinary"
growth without providing specifics.
Even if YouTube continues to lose advertisers, it won't leave a huge dent in Alphabet's earnings.
That's because marketers are expected to keep feeding the company's golden goose -- Google's
dominant search engine.
Ads appearing alongside the billions of search results Google churns out each day still generate
most of Alphabet's revenue even as it expands into other fields.
But ad spending has been accelerating at a rapid pace on YouTube over the past two years
as brands sought to connect with its audience of more than 1 billion people.
Now it looks like things might taper off.
TAKING THE GLOSS OFF Before the boycott began, YouTube's ad revenue
after subtracting commissions was expected to rise 26 percent this year to $7 billion,
based on estimates from the research firm eMarketer.
Alphabet doesn't disclose YouTube's finances.
Advertisers began to flee YouTube last month, after The Times in London and other media
outlets turned up evidence that their brands were appearing alongside clips promoting terrorism
and racism.
The findings alerted advertisers that YouTube didn't have adequate technology or staffing
to shield brands from some of the appalling material that gets posted on a site that receives
400 hours of video per minute.
"This is an ostrich situation where the ostrich just pulled its head out of the sand," says
Harry Kargman, CEO of Kargo, which helps manage ad campaigns on mobile devices.
FLIGHT OF THE BRANDS At one point, about 250 advertisers were boycotting
YouTube.
(Some also stepped back from a related system that Google operates to place commercials
next to videos on outside websites.)
The list included big-spending marketers such as PepsiCo, Wal-Mart Stores, Starbucks, AT&T,
Verizon, Johnson & Johnson, and Volkswagen.
It's unclear how many, if any, of those have returned to YouTube since Google promised
to hire more human reviewers and upgrade its technology to keep ads away from repugnant
videos.
Both Verizon and AT&T, two companies that are trying to expand their own digital ad
networks to compete with Google, told The Associated Press that they are still boycotting
YouTube.
FX Networks confirmed that it isn't advertising on YouTube either.
Several other boycotting marketers contacted by AP didn't respond.
TEMPORARY HIT OR PERMANENT SCAR?
Even if advertisers return, Kargman predicted they are unlikely to spend as much as they
once did.
"It's going to be a slow burn as brands quietly shift their spending away," he said.
"There are now questions about the quality of video on YouTube in the long term."
Investors, however, apparently aren't too worried so far.
YouTube's financial contributions remain a fairly small part of a company expected to
generate $87 billion in revenue this year, after subtracting ad commissions.
RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Mahaney estimates the reduced spending on YouTube and Google's
ad network for video on third-party sites could reduce Alphabet's net revenue by $300
million, to $1.5 billion, this year.
Some of that spending could shift to Facebook, Mahaney said, although the social network
is facing its own challenges trying to block live videos of violence that appall viewers
and advertisers alike.
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